Miscellaneous unsolicited (and possibly biased) career advice
No one asked for this, but I’m something like ~12 years into my career and have had my fair share of mistakes and luck so I thought I’d share some of those things. Honestly, I feel like I’ve mostly benefitted from luck. Some of the thin...Modeling conversion rates using Weibull and gamma distributions
This is a blog post originally featured on the Better engineering blog. If you want to link to this article or share it, please go to the original post URL! Separately, I’m sorry it’s been so long with no posts on this blog. Between kids...Why software projects take longer than you think – a statistical model
Anyone who built software for a while knows that estimating how long something is going to take is hard. It’s hard to come up with an unbiased estimate of how long something will take, when fundamentally the work in itself is about solvi...Headcount goals, feature factories, and when to hire those mythical 10x people
When I started building up a tech team for Better, I made a very conscious decision to pay at the high end to get people. I thought this made more sense: they cost a bit more money to hire, but output usually more than compensates for it...Data architecture vs backend architecture
A modern tech stack typically involves at least a frontend and backend but relatively quickly also grows to include a data platform. This typically grows out of the need for ad-hoc analysis and reporting but possibly evolves into a who...The hacker's guide to uncertainty estimates
It started with a tweet: New years resolution: every plot I make during 2018 will contain uncertainty estimates— Erik Bernhardsson (@fulhack) January 7, 2018 Why? Because I’ve been sitting in 100,000,000 meetings where people e...
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